Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.022970 0.026762 0.030943 0.035891 0.041581 0.047914 0.055490
2025-10-26 0.016745 0.021514 0.027265 0.034690 0.043999 0.055262 0.069894
2025-11-02 0.012524 0.017540 0.024083 0.033195 0.045504 0.061492 0.083766
2025-11-09 0.009754 0.014757 0.021752 0.032169 0.047187 0.067937 0.098636
2025-11-16 0.007995 0.012961 0.020353 0.032032 0.049864 0.075868 0.116404
2025-11-23 0.006491 0.011220 0.018676 0.031113 0.051124 0.081767 0.131839
2025-11-30 0.005787 0.010592 0.018562 0.032512 0.056006 0.093551 0.157455
2025-12-07 0.004975 0.009619 0.017704 0.032516 0.058565 0.101893 0.178514
2025-12-14 0.004156 0.008474 0.016353 0.031433 0.059075 0.106839 0.194422
2025-12-21 0.003589 0.007691 0.015511 0.031098 0.060784 0.113910 0.214613
2025-12-28 0.003354 0.007513 0.015759 0.032798 0.066368 0.128327 0.249249
2026-01-04 0.003071 0.007185 0.015660 0.033797 0.070717 0.140918 0.281817
2026-01-11 0.002626 0.006439 0.014622 0.032808 0.071144 0.146381 0.301941
2026-01-18 0.002301 0.005903 0.013942 0.032460 0.072810 0.154407 0.327903
2026-01-25 0.001973 0.005297 0.013013 0.031434 0.072919 0.159333 0.348224
2026-02-01 0.001711 0.004799 0.012246 0.030648 0.073424 0.165089 0.370809
2026-02-08 0.001530 0.004476 0.011835 0.030614 0.075574 0.174484 0.401948
2026-02-15 0.001331 0.004061 0.011133 0.029783 0.075780 0.179693 0.424597
2026-02-22 0.001265 0.004001 0.011316 0.031150 0.081326 0.197256 0.476214
2026-03-01 0.001143 0.003759 0.010985 0.031167 0.083605 0.207656 0.512719
2026-03-08 0.000993 0.003403 0.010292 0.030133 0.083139 0.211643 0.534849
2026-03-15 0.000889 0.003165 0.009888 0.029815 0.084447 0.219949 0.567949
2026-03-22 0.000862 0.003170 0.010175 0.031451 0.091061 0.241757 0.635586